Quinnipiac’s October 7 release reported 59% support for Josh Shapiro and 34% for Stacy Garrity among Pennsylvania likely voters. The survey interviewed 1,159 likely voters from October 1 through 5, 2026.
Ken Krawchuk received 2%;4% were undecided and 1% refused. The ballot question included respondents who had already voted and those leaning toward a candidate.
The 25-point difference is the margin in this individual poll. Quinnipiac identified this as its first likely-voter Pennsylvania survey of the cycle, so its earlier registered-voter results should not be treated as a directly comparable trend. Caldwell keeps that population distinction in the archive and does not turn one survey into an average.
Caldwell’s summary was written October 31, 2026. The survey’s original release date is retained separately.
- Original release · source date 2026-10-07 · Survey record 19