Two Marist surveys provide dated snapshots of the 2024 presidential race in Pennsylvania. Caldwell has added both to its historical poll register.
In the September 12–17 survey, Harris and Trump each received 49% among 1,476 likely voters. In the October 27–30 survey, Harris received 50% and Trump 48% among 1,400 likely voters. Both results include respondents leaning toward a candidate. The releases appeared September 19 and November 1, 2024, respectively.
The two-point difference in the final survey is a poll finding, not an election outcome or a forecast. Two waves from Marist do not constitute a multi-pollster average. Caldwell stores the adult survey samples separately from the likely-voter question samples and does not assign the unpublished remainder to an invented category.
This retrospective summary was written October 31, 2026. Open the election archive and select the 2024 presidential cycle to inspect the source records.
- Original release · source date 2024-09-19 · Survey record 17
- Original release · source date 2024-11-01 · Survey record 18