The source or linked survey record has changed since this report was reviewed. An editorial update is pending.
Jackson 49%, Collins 47%; Pingree and Charles each draw 44% in the governor race.
| Response | Share |
|---|---|
| Troy Jackson, the Democrat | 49% |
| Susan Collins, the Republican | 47% |
| Another party's candidate | 1% |
| Undecided | 3% |
| Vol: No response | <1% |
Maine likely voters; Marist turnout-probability weighting of registered voters · Fieldwork 2026-10-22–2026-10-25. Bars use a 0–100% scale. Less-than results retain the source threshold and have no exact-length bar.
What the result tells us
The two-point Senate gap does not establish a clear leader. The governor result is a numerical tie, with 6% supporting independent Rick Bennett and 6% undecided. These are separate questions from the same survey, not two independent polls.
The governor contest
| Response | Share |
|---|---|
| Hannah Pingree, the Democrat | 44% |
| Bobby Charles, the Republican | 44% |
| Rick Bennett, an independent | 6% |
| Another party's candidate | 1% |
| Undecided | 6% |
| Vol: No response | <1% |
Maine likely voters; Marist turnout-probability weighting of registered voters · Fieldwork 2026-10-22–2026-10-25. Bars use a 0–100% scale. Less-than results retain the source threshold and have no exact-length bar.
Comparable historical context
Registered-voter context: Jackson’s margin was four points October 1–4 and nine points October 22–25. Those observations use the broader registered-voter population; they should not be compared directly with the two-point likely-voter gap.
Earlier registered-voter record · Later registered-voter record
Survey details and sources
Marist interviewed 1,449 registered voters 2026-10-22 through 2026-10-25, using live telephone, text and online methods. The charts use likely-voter weighting; a separate likely-voter question sample is not reported. The published margin of error for likely-voter shares is ±6.6 percentage points. Released 2026-10-27.
Source: Marist Poll. Caldwell Research analysis and presentation. Rounded percentages and less-than bounds are retained.
Original release · Questionnaire and methodology · Survey record