Hochul draws 53% to Blakeman’s 42% among New York likely voters; 4% remain undecided.
| Response | Share |
|---|---|
| Kathy Hochul, the Democrat | 53% |
| Bruce Blakeman, the Republican | 42% |
| Another party's candidate | <1% |
| Undecided | 4% |
| Vol: No response | <1% |
New York likely voters; Marist turnout-probability weighting of registered voters · Fieldwork 2026-10-22–2026-10-25. Bars use a 0–100% scale. Less-than results retain the source threshold and have no exact-length bar.
What the gap tells us
The 11-point difference gives Hochul a clear lead in this survey. The undecided share is smaller than that gap, but this snapshot cannot tell us how turnout or late shifts will affect the result. It is one poll, not a polling average or a forecast.
A historical comparison should use the same voter population. Registered-voter findings should not be treated as earlier points on this likely-voter series.
About the survey
Marist interviewed 1,448 registered voters October 22–25, 2026 by live telephone, text and online. These results use its likely-voter weighting; a separate likely-voter sample size is not reported. The published likely-voter margin of error is ±3.9 percentage points, not the uncertainty on the candidate margin. Results were released October 28.
Sources and details
Source: Marist Poll. Caldwell Research analysis and presentation.
Original release · Questionnaire and methodology · Survey record