The registered-voter table recorded 45% for Democratic House candidates and 40% for Republicans. The question sample was 1,496; the full survey included 1,501 registered voters.
YouGov conducted a survey of U.S. registered voters from 2026-10-19 to 2026-10-20. The reported sample size was 1501, using Online.
Reported findings
Would you say things in this country today are…
Base: All registered voters · n = 1501
In the elections for U.S. Congress in November, who will you vote for in the district where you live?
Base: Registered voters answering the congressional-vote question; includes leaners · n = 1496
National registered voters only. House question names district candidates and includes an undecided follow-up; question sample 1,496. Rounded percentages sum to 99%. Release date is the linked October 22 article, not an asserted first release of the tables.
Caldwell analysis
The five-point difference is a national preference measure. It cannot identify which districts change hands, and it should not be converted directly into a seat projection. The candidate prompt and follow-up for undecided respondents also matter when comparing this result with a generic party-only question.
A single observation cannot establish whether a race is tightening. Caldwell retains the dated results so readers can inspect later comparable waves without mixing registered-voter estimates with likely-voter screens.
Reading the results
These figures describe the stated survey population during the fieldwork period. A single survey does not establish a trend. Comparisons require compatible questions, populations and methods.
Sources
Are Republicans catching up in the race for Congress?. YouGov. Source released 2026-10-22.
Original questionnaire, tables and methodology
Source: YouGov plc, 2026, © All rights reserved. Public data license.